Updated Tue Nov 3, 11:42 AM ET · sample site

NHL · every game tonight

Moneyline or puck line, whichever the model prefers. Prices are Polymarket asks in cents (= implied %).

UTA@TOR7:00 PM ET

TOR ML

Price45¢

Model51.4%

Edge+6.4 pts

Confidence●●●○○

TOR adj xG% 47.9 vs 57.4; goalies Sergei Bobrovsky -0.00 vs Sebastian Cossa -0.27 GSAx/60; home ice

Goalies: Sebastian Cossa (Unconfirmed) vs Sergei Bobrovsky (Confirmed)

WPG@MTL7:00 PM ET

MTL ML

Price62¢

Model65.4%

Edge+3.4 pts

Confidence●●●○○

MTL adj xG% 50.4 vs 44.5; goalies Jacob Fowler +0.54 vs Nico Daws -0.16 GSAx/60; home ice

Goalies: Nico Daws (Unconfirmed) vs Jacob Fowler (Confirmed)

DET@TBL7:00 PM ET

DET ML

Price29¢

Model38.3%

Edge+9.3 pts

Confidence●●●○○

DET adj xG% 52.5 vs 56.3; goalies John Gibson -0.31 vs Andrei Vasilevskiy -0.14 GSAx/60; B2B: DET

Goalies: John Gibson (Unconfirmed) vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (Unconfirmed)

STL@NYR7:00 PM ET

STL -1.5

Price26¢

Model27.4%

Edge+1.4 pts

Confidence●●○○○

STL adj xG% 50.0 vs 50.7; goalies Joel Hofer +0.15 vs Dylan Garand -0.03 GSAx/60

Goalies: Joel Hofer (Likely) vs Dylan Garand (Confirmed)

MIN@PHI7:00 PM ET

PHI +1.5

Price60¢

Model64.3%

Edge+4.3 pts

Confidence●●●○○

PHI adj xG% 41.3 vs 59.6; goalies Dan Vladar +0.01 vs Jesper Wallstedt +0.45 GSAx/60; home ice

Goalies: Jesper Wallstedt (Confirmed) vs Dan Vladar (Confirmed)

VGK@PIT7:00 PM ET

PIT ML

Price52¢

Model56.3%

Edge+4.3 pts

Confidence●●●○○

PIT adj xG% 48.2 vs 55.4; goalies Arturs Silovs +0.13 vs Adin Hill -0.12 GSAx/60; B2B: VGK; home ice

Goalies: Adin Hill (Unconfirmed) vs Arturs Silovs (Confirmed)

DAL@WSH7:00 PM ET

DAL ML

Price50¢

Model50.8%

Edge+0.8 pts

Confidence●○○○○

DAL adj xG% 51.8 vs 49.9; goalies Jake Oettinger +0.46 vs Logan Thompson +0.19 GSAx/60

Goalies: Jake Oettinger (Unconfirmed) vs Logan Thompson (Confirmed)

COL@CBJ7:00 PM ET

CBJ ML

Price48¢

Model55.0%

Edge+7.0 pts

Confidence●●●●○

CBJ adj xG% 44.0 vs 56.3; goalies Cam Talbot +0.17 vs Scott Wedgewood -0.22 GSAx/60; B2B: COL; home ice

Goalies: Scott Wedgewood (Confirmed) vs Cam Talbot (Confirmed)

EDM@NJD7:30 PM ET

EDM -1.5

Price22¢

Model23.7%

Edge+1.7 pts

Confidence●●○○○

EDM adj xG% 53.7 vs 58.7; goalies Tristan Jarry -0.09 vs Connor Hellebuyck +0.04 GSAx/60

Goalies: Tristan Jarry (Unconfirmed) vs Connor Hellebuyck (Confirmed)

CAR@NSH8:00 PM ET

NSH +1.5

Price57¢

Model66.8%

Edge+9.8 pts

Confidence●●●○○

NSH adj xG% 48.8 vs 61.7; goalies Juuse Saros +0.13 vs Pyotr Kochetkov +0.46 GSAx/60; home ice

Goalies: Pyotr Kochetkov (Unconfirmed) vs Juuse Saros (Confirmed)

ANA@VAN9:00 PM ET

ANA ML

Price60¢

Model61.9%

Edge+1.9 pts

Confidence●●○○○

ANA adj xG% 46.2 vs 38.2; goalies Lukas Dostal +0.01 vs Kevin Lankinen -0.87 GSAx/60

Goalies: Lukas Dostal (Unconfirmed) vs Kevin Lankinen (Unconfirmed)

NHL expected goals

#	Team	GP	Adj xG% (all)	Adj xG% 5v5	xGF	xGA
1	CAR	16	61.7	60.9	62.6	40.2
2	MIN	16	59.6	57.0	62.9	44.9
3	NJD	14	58.7	58.5	49.3	34.6
4	UTA	15	57.4	58.3	53.5	40.3
5	COL	15	56.3	55.2	51.6	40.6
6	TBL	13	56.3	55.8	48.8	38.5
7	VGK	16	55.4	54.7	53.5	42.7
8	EDM	15	53.7	49.8	46.0	40.6
9	FLA	15	53.2	53.8	50.5	44.8
10	DET	15	52.5	53.7	50.0	44.1
11	OTT	16	51.9	53.1	52.7	49.7
12	DAL	14	51.8	50.0	42.0	38.3
13	NYR	15	50.7	50.9	47.8	46.4
14	BOS	16	50.7	53.1	50.8	50.0
15	MTL	14	50.4	54.0	46.8	47.0
16	LAK	13	50.3	49.0	39.6	40.1
17	STL	14	50.0	49.7	42.4	41.7
18	WSH	13	49.9	52.9	46.2	45.8
19	NSH	14	48.8	46.7	44.7	45.9
20	BUF	14	48.6	49.9	44.4	46.5
21	PIT	14	48.2	51.4	46.9	49.9
22	TOR	16	47.9	45.8	49.7	54.0
23	NYI	14	46.7	50.3	40.8	46.9
24	ANA	14	46.2	44.2	43.0	50.4
25	SEA	14	45.7	45.8	39.5	48.2
26	CGY	15	44.6	45.3	40.6	48.9
27	WPG	15	44.5	45.2	43.7	53.5
28	CBJ	12	44.0	46.2	33.4	41.3
29	SJS	16	42.9	42.5	47.8	63.2
30	CHI	15	42.4	39.5	41.1	54.4
31	PHI	16	41.3	38.9	41.0	57.1
32	VAN	16	38.2	38.5	40.3	63.3